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In 2012 we saw a record low, which was likely to have been influenced by a storm that swept through the region in summer, but this year’s weather conditions appear to have been less conducive to ice loss. We know sea ice extent is going to vary from year to year due to weather conditions and that’s not at all inconsistent with the overall decline in extent. You wouldn’t expect to see records broken year after year, so this â€�recovery’ is not unexpected. In fact, model simulations of sea ice suggest that a as the ice gets thinner you actually get more year-to-year variability in extent because larger areas of the ice are more vulnerable to melting away completely over the summer.
