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It might be that Germany does not race away from the pack this time. Both the government and Bundesbank are forecasting a robust second quarter but then something of a relapse in the third. German inflation figures are due later and will go some way to show how much leeway the European Central Bank has to loosen policy further. The forecast is for the rate to edge down to 1.7 percent, somewhat below the target of close to but below two percent. We also get euro zone business and consumer sentiment readings.
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This is a substantive acknowledgement of a risk to disinflation. Inflation is well below the Fed’s target and could be detrimental to the economy. This could change when and how quickly the Fed would reduce its bond purchases. It’s not a game-changer. They are trying to talk yields down.
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“We’re excited because we won the game and it was a big win and that’s nice,” Gee said. “But obviously to see your captain in David go down like that and grab his hamstring, we’re all praying that it’s nothing serious and that he can come back.”
